iOS, Android or Windows Phone system will dominate the market in the coming years?

Today, just as they do from IDC, we will try to guess the behavior of the market of mobile telephony in the next 5 years. According to an update of forecast of the International Data Corporation (IDC), it is expected that sales of smart phones pose a growth of up to 3.1% in 2016, which is a strong slowdown if we consider 10.5% in 2015 and the 27.8% in 2014. This new forecast down almost 3 points on the previous forecast, and also allows us to know which operating system will dominate the market in the coming years, iOS, Android or Windows Phone (which we already say that it will be that do not).

Before getting into matter pure and hard with each of the mobile platforms, we show the forecast box proposed from the International Data Corporation:

iOS

Expected Apple to face the first year where sales of its great ship logo, the iPhone, is less than the previous year. Thus sales would take 232 million by 2015 to 227 million in 2016. This projected decrease of 2% compared to the previous year is a significant change from last years ‘ and will mark a turning point for the company. IDC believes that Apple can get new growth in 2017 thanks to sales of 7 iPhone and its smartphone sales from “low-cost, iPhone, in emerging markets. “

However, iOS will not be the second mobile platform since Google’s operating system will continue imposing on the Apple in the next 5 years, if the company does nothing to remedy it, and precisely nothing seems to indicate otherwise.

Android

Expected operating system of Google-powered devices to grow 6.2% in 2016, 1.24 million in sales would increase to 1.570 million in 2020, while maintaining the dominant position against iOS according to forecasts by the IDC. Android continues to be the platform that is dominant in most of the markets its affordability and its extensive catalogue to be their main weapons for “world domination” in the next 5 years, even more so with brands such as Samsung and Huawei supporting the platform as they are doing in the past.

Windows Phone

After speaking of iOS and Android, is the turn of Microsoft’s operating system. The recent liquidation of the assets of Nokia, despite the announcement of Microsoft to continue support for Windows Phone, would lead to the platform to die in the next 5 years. The lack of support from major manufacturers such as the absence of applications in the system, as well as the rejection of the users end of relegating the platform into oblivion. Presenting a negative growth in this 55% 2016, it is expected that by 2020 present figures close to 46%.

Will we see in these 5 years a high-end smartphone running Windows Phone, as the rumored Surface Phone than of returning to these forecasts? We fear that not.

Also you might be interested…

• Windows Phone in free fall in Spain, barely 3% of market share
• With a 0.7% share, Windows is virtually KO mobile